here's an opinion--blu ray could very well do well in the states, and other rich nations. but in countries like china it could very well be a non-factor. i'm a little behind in the knowledge of those markets, but the other day i saw a DVD-9 (whatever the name is for the double layer DVD disk) disk, and my guess is that that has beginning to take over DVD disks.
in some ways, DVD-9 to blu-ray feels kind of like VCD to LCD. i don't think most productions in china are high-def yet, so there's little point in moving to blu-ray or HD-DVD.
then again, china of 10 years ago is way different the china of today. bring down costs has pretty much become a forte for chinese manufacturers, blu-ray or HD-DVD. so many mass market blu-ray (including pirated blu-rays--crucial to the success of blu-ray disks, i think!) might really be just around the corner.
the Wii is an epidemic.
