How close will the big 3 be in 2011?

[Chibi.V.29]

Immortal said:

nightsurge said:

Good topic, Kowenicki!

My view of the situation is about what you have said.  I feel the Wii will be down again (following the more traditional 5 year life cycle with sales declining now YoY).  The 360, IMO, has the best shot at being UP by a good margin again next year.  If Kinect keeps generating hype and word of mouth driving sales, this year could be big.  Microsoft still has room to slash $100 off of consoles and still break even or profit slightly, as well as cut prices on Kinect.  They have a lot of cards to play this year and I feel they have the best options over the other two.

Don't get me wrong, I think all 3 will have price cuts this year, but the 360 will have the most impact and be able to drop the most out of the 3 (While remaining profitable that is. Obviously Sony or Nintendo could slash prices deeper and take hits on hardware if they wanted).

Sony could also be UP slightly this year following good Move support and a price cut to Move and the system.  The Wii I do not see anything that could stabilize it's sales, it's on the way out while the 360 and PS3 have added new options to keep their systems going.

What leads you to believe that? Wiis were produced at $88 (I've posted this link somewhere before, I think - http://www.xbitlabs.com/news/multimedia/display/20090407124321_Nintendo_Wii_Costs_Roughly_88_to_Manufacture__Analysts.html#) back in mid 2009. Surely you'd think that Wii's even lower now and, considering 360 cost over 300 bucks to manufacture at launch, I doubt it's that low by now.

Anyway, on topic, I don't expect it to be as close as this year. I expect Japan to abandon 360 and Americas to start letting go off PS3 in the same way as Japan's let go of 360. Sony will probably try to step up their game, which may also leave 360 in the dust in EMEAA. Wii should continue to decline at about the same pace and 360 may be closer to it, but PS3 I think will start falling behind next year.

The PS3 cost $800 at launch per unit to manufacture :D just thought id throw that in there ^^ (Hell yh for sony biting the bullet for us! lololol)