I think next year is pretty much going to end up like this year, both in weeks (PS3 beating Wii) and sales (Wii beating PS3). I think PS3 will actually take more weeks than it did in 2010, but I also expect it to have higher YOY declines than Wii (which should get a nice buff out of DQX).
In those 3rd party lists though you have quite a few 2012 (or later) games listed (MGS Rising, FFVersusXIII, Tekken Vs SF, Devil's Third, etc) and games that haven't been announced at all yet for Japan (Power Pro, Winning Eleven, Dreamcast Collection, Tomb Raider/Collection, Hitman 5, The Conduit 2, Dungeon Siege III, etc). For 2011 it'd probably be best to compare likely 2011 releases, and only titles actually announced (and not assumed) for Japan. Also, it's Tekken Tag Tournament 2, not Tekken 7.
I'd take Ashura's Rage and Troy Musou off the 100k plus lists too. Musou outside Hokuto seems to be in decline, and a game based on Hellenistic Greek myth (rather than the usual 3 Kingdoms China, Edo Japan periods) developed by Koei Canada (rather than Omega Force) is a very iffy sell imo. Ashura has a better chance, but then CC2's track record (sales wise) is questionable and GOW clones aren't exactly decent sellers in general. Look at Castlevania.
