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jarrod on 06 January 2011
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Carl2291 said:
jarrod said:
Carl2291 said:

Next year could be the closest year ever for home consoles...

I think it's looking pretty hopeless for both.  PS3's lineup is basically copy/paste of last year (minus GT5), and their only real hope is if Versus makes it or not (and even that probably won't be a real hardware mover).  Wii's looking pathetic as usual portfolio wise, only with weaker selling Nintendo titles at the helm (Zelda, Rhythm Heaven, Fatal Frame).  IF DQX doesn't launch in 2011, Wii's totally fucked imo.

I think the Wii will probably get a bunch of games ported from the 3DS, I know that so far both lineups aren't looking too great though. Although Wii has the bigger advantage due to DQ... If it makes it out for the year. Versus wont be a hardware mover in Japan. If anywhere it will actually move Hardware in America/Europe if it stays exclusive.

Nino Kuni might boost PS3 sales a bit too, although pretty unlikely now after how the DS games has done.

I wouldn't be surprised at all though to see both stumble under the 10k point for some weeks.

Really?  I'm honestly not really expecting anything to translate from 3DS to Wii... if 3DS develops a multiplatform ecosystem with anything, I think it'll be PSP.

I think Ninokuni's fucked, Hino's big book piracy cockblocker has turned into a big book sales cockblocker.  I think this and the original overshipment of IE3 are likely going to major damage to L5's rep with retailers too... six months ago they could do no wrong, but now it's been a rough 2nd half.  Unless they drop the book for the PS3 rev of Ninokuni, I think it'll do worse than the DS original. :/

And yeah, I think everything rests on DQX.  It's really the only console game I see potentially coming in 2011 that could move some significant home console hardware, but I also think it's effects could be blunted by the usual Wii malaise. Under 10k some weeks is guaranteed for both PS3 and Wii imo, Japan needs new hardware STAT.