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Metallicube on 03 January 2011
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Mr Puggsly said:
Metallicube said:

I still stand by my statement that Kinect will not sell in the long term. I always believed and stated that it would sell the first couple months, based primarilly on the novelty and the natural holiday boost. Also, the games are already not selling that well (udraw and its flagship game is selling better than most Kinect games).

The true test will be how it performs during the slow months next year, and I don't beleive it'll pass that test. Child of Eden and Star Wars will not be enough to keep Kinect sales going.

Really? You don't think the launch software is doing well?

Lets look at the software sales...

2
Kinect Sports (X360)
Microsoft
1.28 0.01 0.70 1.99
3
Kinectimals (X360)
Microsoft
0.43 0.00 0.17 0.60
4
Kinect Joy Ride (X360)
Microsoft
0.39 0.00 0.11 0.50
1
Dance Central (X360)
MTV Games
0.91 0.00 0.30 1.21
2
Zumba Fitness (X360)
Majesco
0.20 0.00 0.02 0.22
2
Your Shape: Fitness Evolved (X360)
Ubisoft
0.33 0.00 0.11 0.44
1
MotionSports (X360)
Ubisoft
0.14 0.00 0.12 0.26
1
Fighters Uncaged (X360)
Ubisoft
0.15 0.00 0.09 0.24
6
Game Party in Motion (X360)
Warner Bros. Interactive
0.17 0.00 0.06 0.23
4
Sonic Free Riders (X360)
Sega
0.20 0.00 0.12 0.32

I think those are respectable numbers for hardware that came out 2 months ago and has a userbase of about 5 million.

 

Your uDraw comparison is ridiculous.

It only has 2 games on the market and they are only $30 (excluding the bundled game). So its not surprising that the games are performing better than some of the less popular Kinect games.

Ultimately, uDraw isn't any where close to the Kinect's success. Why even bother trying to compare them?

 

If Wii Fit can maintain strong sales with its library, then why can't Kinect do the same with its current library?

Are those numbers supposed to be impressive? Because I am certainly not impressed. I see two games that have reached a million, and another two games that MAY crawl to one million. ALL the other Kinect titles will probably never reach a million, and many will not even reach half that mark. And this is during the holiday season! What will the sales be like during the normal periods of the year?

The fact remains that the $70 Udraw and Udraw studio is outselling every single Kinect game not named Kinect Sports or Dance Central. People seem to be avoiding the fact that Kinect software is not selling, though if you look at the games one shouldn't exactly be surprised they are not selling. Yes the hardware is doing exceptional but this is not a surprise to me, considering the novelty of 3D controller-less gaming and the natural holiday boosts. Strategically, MS certainly picked the right time to release this peripheral..