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Don't see why not, NPD YTD has 360 ahead 100k ish, this will change with Dec (I don't buy it'll be over 1 mill ahead though ...)

And although Americas heavily favours Wii and tips it in its favour, a lead in the US could overcome that.

I'm cautious due to adjustments, but if Kinect has done as well as the data suggests, it's going to be the main thing pushing a home console buy next year.