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RolStoppable said:

Only one million to catch up, then it will have outsold Modern Warfare 2 on 360 and PS3 combined. Somebody should go find the MW2 vs. NSMB Wii prediction thread.

EDIT: This is the best one I could find. Mostly holidays 2009 predictions, but there are a few regarding lifetimes sales as well.

Now the most interesting comparison is whether New Super Mario Bros Wii in Americas alone can outsell the worldwide sales of Modern Warfare 2.

It seems possible to me. Unlikely, but possible.