Pineapple said:
I kind of doubt Just Dance 2 will make it. Its sales should mellow down a bit after christmas, and it's going to get a sequel at some point. I'd guess around 8 million seems more likely. 10 million is possible, but I'd consider it highly unlikely. I'd say Wii Party is far, far more likely to reach 10 million. Donkey Kong Country Returns also has a chance of making it, assuming that it becomes bundled with the Wii (similarily to how Mario Kart Wii and New Super Mario Bros. Wii are) in the future. I don't really see the Wii getting many more 10 million sellers. The future games simply have too much competition from the old ones (Mario Kart Wii, New Super Mario Bros. Wii, Wii Sports Resort, Wii Fit Plus). |
Well, I expect it to have a 100k/week pace through next year (counting holidays). It has a far larger fanbase and has had even more time for word of mouth to spread. Word of mouth, when it's almost unanymously good can be very effective. I tell two friends, they tell two each and so on. I believe that that's gonna happen, and with this large base gained from the huge holidays, the effect will multiply.
Not as if my logic's never been wrong before though...
Wii Party, I'd say, is a shoe-in for 10m. DKCR, I think could make it, even without a bundle, because it has the NSMB base to delve into. Not as likely though, obviously.
I think that Wii has quite a few 10m sellers left, actually. Whilst JD2 prolly won't make it, JD3 will more likely than not do it. Also, so far, Nintendo has a track record of churning out 10m sellers almost every year on Wii. I think this should continue and, actually, pick up its pace by making the games hit lower amounts higher than 10 (early teens) rather than making a few huge titles that'll sell upwards of 20m. That already seems to be happening.
“These are my principles; if you don’t like them, I have others.” – Groucho Marx
