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Gamerace said:
I think not only have we not seen what the demand is for the Wii but I think that demand is increasing somewhat expodentially as new people are exposed to it from their friends and games like WiiFit expand the audience. It will not follow normal VG trends as it is redefining what video entertainment is and who it appeals to. We saw this already when the Wii experienced no slowdown in sales when consoles traditionally do (except somewhat in Japan, but even then it's numbers were high for that time of year). So it's hard to say what it's selling potential is. I still think 55m-65m is probable if Nintendo can continue to increase supply throughout the year.

Otherwise it's a well thought out and excellent projection (and closely mirrors my own).

 Well even in japan we see that demand is exceeding supply, with last weeks Wii Fit/Wii shortage



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)