Predict the sales of the 3 biggest exclusives in 2011

[Immortal]

Torillian said:

Immortal said:

I can't believe you guys think Zelda's gonna be the biggest Wii exclusive releasing next year.

Just Dance 3* - 14m

Uncharted 3 - 6m

Gears of War 3 - 6.5m

*If Wii Music 2 releases next year, it'll sell 17m

*if the Vitality Sensor releases next year, its biggest game will sell ~25m

why would a sequel to a game that didn't make it to 3m sales (Wii Music) sell 17m? 

Just Dance has done well for itself but the first has 4.8m sales and the second is sitting at 3m atm so I don't see the third getting to 14m.  And then you're just pulling the last number completely from where the sun doesn't shine because you have no clue what that game is.

I agree with your general idea that Zelda might not be the highest seller for Wii in 2011 but you are way overstating the sales of those games.

Well, Miyamoto claims that he wants to make the game and, after listening to the criticism the original received, I believe that he'll make it the success that the original never was.

Just Dance is selling at 125k/week and will fly past 5m. Just Dance 2 is selling 600k/week at the moment, and, if it follows the original, its gonna have legs. I think ioi predicted 7m-10m for the title somewhere. With that kind of growth, I believe the third can pull off 14 million lifetime if it stays exclusive.

The last one I may be predicting out of nowhere, but I believe that the Vitality Sensor will be significantly less successful than the Wii Fit (Plus), but still sell plenty.

I can understand your criticism though, obviously, :P.