psrock said:
Immortal said:
psrock said:
Immortal said:
Thanks for the information.
Looking at recent sales via VGC/NPD/MC, I don't think that the PS3 will actually hit its target; EMEAA would have to have astonishing sales for this to be accomplished. By sales, I should think that PS3'll finish around 2.1m or so in Americas for the quarter and 550k or so in Japan. I really don't see EMEAA sales being twice that of Americas in the holiday quarter. On top of that, Move was likely boosting sales at the end of last quarter and substantial shipments to be sold in early next quarter were probably made at that time, reducing shipments from this quarter. I'd therefore expect shipments to be around 5-5.5m rather than 7m. Unless Sony has something massive up its sleeves, I simply don't see how they expect to outsell Wii's March 2010 quarter substantially.
|
So, Sony who shipped these consoles who just said they are on track to 15 million, but you seem to know better.
|
No, I do not claim to know better. Based on the data that we have, I merely conclude that I find such a target rather difficult to attain. This is a Sales Discussion forum; if we do not make predictions of our own and simply follow what the hardware manufacturers claim, there is little purpose in discussion.
Also, it's not as if hardware manufacturers are always right; Nintendo expected Wii to ship 26m early on last year and it ended at 20.5m.
|
The data you have are all sold to consumers which has nothing to do with what we are speaking about. When NPD, MC, vgc release their numbers, it's sold to customers. Sony is talking about shipping to retailers.
It's Dec, we have 3 months to go, they usually change their forcast around now if they believed they were not going to make it. They stood by their expectation.
|
Did you not read the post you quoted? I took note of the disparity and adjusted shipments down for the quarter as last quarter most likely shipped a substantial amount at the end of the quarter which was to sell this quarter, increasing the sales to shipment ratio of last quarter, but reducing the sales to shipment ratio of this quarter (as there is nothing that would cause a major spur in demand early next year).
Also, manufacturer expectations are not significantly better than those of you or I, even if they decide to stick to them. This may be an attempt to keep investor faith in the product whilst Sony comes up with something to announce that's promising so that investors don't turn away when the expectations are reduced.
