| thx1139 said: This has to be the hardest time of the year for VGC to get reliable data. VGC vs NPD in November was quite different. The Japan previews have been way off for the past several weeks it only is logical to think that come January and February the qtrly reports and numbers from other trackers will be a good deal different. |
this site uses alot of technically analysis combined with fairly small samples to get the final numbers. What this mean is during times of the year when things become crazy sometime the technically analysis base on numbers gets scewed while during the year things are pretty steady. Also in August when the number 10 game sell 200k in a month and VGC has it at 240k (20% off) nobody really cares they adjust and nobody knows the better. In Dec if they are 20% off on a top game that can means hundreds of throusand... and people take notice.
Combine the 2, and holiday numbers can vary wildly. I remember Cmas 07 that were pressured to release the Japan numbers before Famitsu and MC.... They were off by 50-75% and it almost sunk the site. I had already suspected that the Jap numbers were derived from those 2 sources, but that proved it to me. BUT this site is awsome for tracking historical numbers (more than 1 more old)
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
