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SaviorX said:
phenom08 said:
SaviorX said:
RolStoppable said:
phenom08 said:

Why exactly will the wii drop that hard in 2011?

No games, no sales.

Pretty much this.

I am skeptical of what software could potentially do for the Wii this late in the game. Based solely on what we know now, the outlook is bleak for the Wii in comparison to 2010 sales; 3rd parties had quite the amount of hits this HOLIDAY SEASON for the Wii, but as far as I know their support will be even lower during the course of next year than it was for 2010.

In terms of Nintendo Software, I don't know if what they have in store is evergreen/bridge or has system selling potential. They could release Vitality Sensor and beat 2009 sales, or they could release Wii Music 2 and effectively stop Wii sales cold. Ninty has been hinting at a WM2 as well, so I'd take precaution haha.

Zelda can only do so much, and Japan is a wasteland. There is DQX (maybe 2011), The Last Story, and Earth Seeker. TLS can push some units due to bundling, but Japan has constantly disappointed in the SW department this gen; I'm not getting my hopes up now.

A price cut could change things, but like Rol said, no games no sales.

so like Rol your making the same mistake because like Rol you know nothing of its software come next year, what exactly did third parties have this year that help keep the wii goin, that we knew about a year before, remember alot of those games we found out about around e3 so why not just wait and see what third parties have instead of assuming they have nothing


Like I said, I have no idea what's in store next year. The numbers I had earlier were near worst-case scenario. With all the software possibilities in store for next year, in addition to a potential price cut, the Wii indeed could pass 100m. However, with just normal yearly decline and SUSPECT 3rd party support, I don't think it could quite make it to 100m by Dec. 2011.

Just check my earlier post; I pretty much said all I had to :P

I checked it, all i can do is agree to disagree, i see the wii worst case being more along the lines of 15 million, no way will it pull 13 or 14 million