Will the Wii reach 100 million by 2011?

[Nintendogamer]

Asriel said:

They should definitely have reached that shipment point by the end of next year, not sure if they'll do it in sell through. They need something big to push sales, another Wii series title in the summer wouldn't go amiss, especially if it provides a long term hardware boost. Honestly I think the problem for now is Nintendo don't have a steady stream of big software that will keep sales momentum going. A price cut won't hurt, but neither will it push Wii sales higher for a prolonged period.

If they have a $50 (and its equivalent in EU/JP) price cut, push Last Story as a major worldwide release, have a Wii series title in summer or early autumn at the latest, push Zelda as a massive Christmas release, do a couple of bundles and have some other strong software offerings throughout the year they could see sales stay at a similar level to this year and push passed the 100million mark in 2011. As it is, we don't know what Nintendo is going to do at this point. I assume both Zelda and Last Story will be out at some point, but price cuts, other first party and third party software, bundles etc are all up in the air. I still think they have plenty cards to play, but the longer they wait without doing anything in the face of declining momentum, the less effective their actions will be.

They could announce more evergreen titles at E3, maybe another Wii sports, Miyamoto already hinted about wii music 2 so we could see that dropping soon.  If it does hit 100M end of next year then Q1 2012 it will certinaly do it.