I think 100k maybe 200k tops. I mean seriously the 360 itself doesn't sell all that well who can expect a peripheral to do much better. Also as many people pointed out you should have 8-10 feet between you and the Kinect something most Japanese homes simply do not have.
Honestly I think BlueDragon gave 360 more of a boost than Kinect is. I think Kinect will disappear from Japan soon. Although I must say Microsoft has kept the 360 there this long despite it being mauled and beaten to hell. So maybe Microsoft will also keep Kinect there too.
But retailers already don't have Kinect on shelves in many locations as I saw reported online. Instead they have a very small section with a sign or something saying ask for the Kinect. If it isn't even worthy of shelf space how can it possibly shift enough units to make it worth while in Japan.
As for Japanese titles exclusive to Kinect? Seriously unless the Japanese title is aimed at North America then I doubt we will see any. Japanese publishers know that Japan centric games don't sell on 360.
-JC7
"In God We Trust - In Games We Play " - Joel Reimer
