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Seece on 19 December 2010
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Gilgamesh said:
Seece said:
Gilgamesh said:
jarrod said:
Gilgamesh said:

Shouldn't be to big of a problem since Wii sports isn't bundled in Japan that'll only be like 80 - 85 million. (Assuming the Wii sells 15 - 20 million in Japan)

It's also not bundled in Korea.  Then again, there's pretty much no way Wii's going reach 20m Japan, and it's definitely going to sell well over 100m worldwide by the time it's done.  Probably over 120m really.  PS3's top 10 will be lucky to manage half of Wii Sports lifetime sales.


In order for PS3's top 10's to get half of Wii Sports lifetime all PS3 software would have to stop now because it's already at roughly 50 million and there's no way Wii Sports is hitting 100 million.

Erm, yeah Wii Sports will easily break 100 mill, you really think Wii is only going to sell 20 mill in the west from now until the end of it's life??? 0_o

PS3 doesn't even have 1 10 million seller, let alone 10 ....

and no it's not going to have an exclusive GTA that does 18 million and no GT5 won't hit 15 million ect ect.

I think you misread Seece, the argument was PS3's top 10 software will be lucky to reach HALF of Wii Sports lifetime, I predict Wii sports will be lucky to hit 100 million LTD so in other words PS3's top 10 software has to do 50 million, and since I made this thread 4 month ago, PS3 software is probably over 50 million by now, I'll check.

Edit: Yup, PS3's top 10 software totals 53.76 million as of right now, so Jarrod was wrong.

Just because you predict Wii Sports will stop at 100 million doesn't mean it's fact Gilgamesh. It's currently around 9 mill below total Wii HW

71 mill VS 80.5 mill

Wii isn't gonna stop selling at 100 mill, and before this holiday I might have though Wii was slowing down, but Wii is capable of having an even BIGGER holiday than this year nad last year when it hit's $99. Wii is still trending way above PS2, and even though I don't think it'll match PS2, it won't fall 10's of millions short. So a reasonable estimate for Wii would be at least 130 million HW by end of it's life.

Shave off 15 for the HW not sold with WS and you get around 115 million for WS, 57 mill need for PS3 top ten. It will likely do it thanks to all the COD's out there.

But winning a bet or such over Jarrod is nothing to shout home out, he makes less reasonable predictions than you do.

Edit - but yeah somehow I misread, PS3 will obviously have done over half Wii Sports lifetime.