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Very interesting OP and a compelling argument, I feel.

Would just point out that, if the rumour out today about Microsoft increasing the compression of data through Kinect such that it can actually sense fingers & wrists -as the E3 2009 propaganda (misleadingly) promised- is true, then it could potentially also allow for tracking of four players rather than just two (as the E3 2009 propaganda... well, you get the idea). But that's all just speculation on my part for now.

Certainly going to be interesting to see how Kinect performs throughout 2011. I have no idea how things will pan out lol.