UncleScrooge said:
Look this week the Wii got a gift card which accelerated its boost (it is 45% up from last week, while PS3 is up just slightly and the 360 is down). The Xbox360 didn't get a boost this week because people are waiting for next week's giftcard and it was supply constraint to a certain extend. Now instead of looking at this week and claiming "the Wii is overtracked! It won't outsell the Xbox360 2:1" (nobody said it would! And VGChartz data doesn't even indicate this so it's a claim without any basis) you should take a look at next week. Next week the Wii boost will be smaller (because people rushed to buy it with the giftcard this week) while those customers who waited for the Xbox360 to get its giftcard will rush to the store next week. That means the Xbxo360 will get a way bigger boost than the Wii next week. Basically if we assume the 360 will get the same boost the Wii did ( 50%) that puts its next week numbers at 600k units. If the Wii is flat (it gets deals next week, too but I have no idea how to factor them in) that would put the consoles at less than 900k units again. And I'd expect the 360 boost to be slightly higher since the giftcard is 75$. Maybe they'll even be tied next (like 800k for both, I don't know). But since the Wii didn't outsell the 360 2:1 besides this week so far and since it won't outsell the 360 2:1 next week accusing VGChartz of overtracking the Wii because "it won't outsell the 360 2:1 in December" is stupid because VGChartz doesn't show the wii outselling the 360 by 2:1 for the whole month of December at all. Is that fair enough to you? |
Perhaps you are right, but frankly I don't see anything that can justify wii doubling 360 sales, even for a week. The only way this could happen is if the 360 is seriously undershipped and I don't think it is. Anyway we will never know the truth because NPD doesn't release weekly information, so we'll have to stick to monthly comparison.
