| Metallicube said: err, 20 million? So you expect it to sell nearly half the userbase of the 360? Exactly what kind of software is going to push 20 million Kinects at $150 a piece ($300 if you include those who don't have a 360)? CERTAINLY not the software out for it now. I predict sales will fall like a rock after the holiday season. There are no games out now or in the forseeable future that shows otherwise. |
You kind of defeated your own argument there.
I say at least half of the Kinects sold right now are going to people who didn't own the console previously. As we can plainly see there are at least 32 million Wii owners who don't own a 360 and many of those people might see Kinect/360 as an upgrade.
The 360 will reach 50 million by the end of the year. Let's take a 10% attach rate for existing owners, that puts it at 5 million units. You don't think there are 15 million only Wii owners out there who are interested in Kinect? I think so.
