Gran Turismo 5 (America) sales compared to GT4 and GT3

[Immortal]

Michael-5 said:

Immortal said:

Michael-5 said:

Immortal said:

Mummelmann said:

Judging a GT title by first week sales. Congratulations!

Word you're looking for is comparing. Nobody's saying "it opened to 2m so it'll sell 5m". They're saying "it opened to less than other GTs so it'll do less than other GTs". There is absolutely no reason to believe that this will have significantly larger legs than other GTs (there is much reason to believe that it'll have much smaller legs on the other hand) so the "Gran Turismo" characteristic cancels out in the comparison.

He could just mean congratulations that GT5 is still selling reasonably well considering the different in software selling power between the PS1/PS2 and PS3.

Really? By the nature of his post, I presumed that he was mocking the thread for trying to predict the game's future sales by looking at its first week, which I argued against.

Besides, many on here believe that GT5 can sell as much as the other GTs regardless of the PS3's significantly smaller userbase, which is quite ridiculous.

Thats the flaw of forums. Text goesn't reflect tone, I've made the same mistake you have in the past before as well.

The game could sell 9-11 million, which is avergae for GT, it's not impossible. I feel between 7-10 personally. IMO reviews are more important then user base, take Halo 3 vs. Reach for example.

xD, it's confusing.

Anyway, I really don't think it can hit 9-11m now. Not a hater or anything, but after the lower than expected FW, pathetic second week in Japan, etc. despite a holiday launch, I really can't see it having good legs. 7-9m seems about right.

Also, I doubt that Reach is falling behind because of reviews. Fans wouldn't care for them if the game is a good one in the series (which I'm guessing it is) and others really don't see the difference between 91 and 94 on Metacritic.

The userbase at the time does not matter (H3 launches to 15m base, HR launches to 45m), but the overall base does matter for games like this. Halo and Gran Turismo are meant to be the definition of their console's experience; they should be bought by the people who already have the console and those who are going to buy the system some time in the future. Therefore, if the PS3 only reaches a base of 75m versus PS2's 150m, it's going to hurt GT5's sales. When you're talking about smaller franchises, on the other hand, (many that sold better on PS3 than PS2), they do not need to be constant sellers so userbase doesn't really matter.