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Declan said:

For a new IP in Japan I really don't think 300-600k first week is a modest prediction.  Established JRPGs such as the Tales games haven't got anywhere near that.  300k lifetime (Japan) would, I think, be more realistic, and that's if it's a great success.


I know it looks a bit on the high end but I can't remember when Nintendo was actually supporting a third party effort for their home consoles this much. With MH3 Nintendo was their to promote but I have a feeling their really going to give The Last Story a big marketing push.



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