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MrPickles on 04 January 2008
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DongHungLong said:
FelmanX said:
Rugger08 said:

DongHungLong said:
PS3 is gonna tear it up in '08. LTD will be PS3 > 360 by end of '08. Those of you who keep on about MS making a price drop need to consider that MS's game division is in no better shape than Sonys without the Halo 3 quarter software sales. Sony can easily match even a $50 dollar price drop. Even more so in Japan where the 360 sales next to nothing.

Hopefully the install base and sales of MGS are enough to keep Konami happy and further fuel system sales until FF13 hits and square is more than happy to leave it exclusive. '08 is going to be an amazing year for Sony and MS best watch it's back.


 

In order for PS3 to pass 360 in LTD sales during 2008 PS3 would have to out sell 360 by more than 130K every week of the year. I find that hard to believe.

The 360 could reach the $200 mass market price tag this year, in which case they will easily beat PS3.

360 sales in Japan might be next to nothing, but you have to remember that until the holiday season the PS3 slaes were almost nothing also. If I remember correctly they were as low as 15K. Japan won't help PS3 by that much. FF13 might not even come out at all in 2008 so it might not help at all.


1. It's possible but probably unlikely. (pretty close last week. Lets see how things go thos week)

2. Won't hit $200 range, 250 more likely. Don't expect the arcade to sell like the wii.

3. FF13 is NOT coming out this year. GT5 might not make it either. But there are plenty of JRPGs this year.


I wasn't meaning that FF13 was coming this year. I knew it was 09 I just meant that by that time the install base will be more than enough to keep square happy. And if the PS3 can keep its grasp on Others and maintain a descent amount in Japan the US sales will eventually pick back up. If anything tho the PS3 will for sure pass the 360 in Others category leaving the 360 with a small lead only in the US.

 I also don't know how the hell any of you think the Wii will push over 40mil by the end of '08.  Its been out for 14 months and has sold under 20mil.  Nintendo has stated they are not going to increase production and with them still selling out its obvious that they can't produce that many in the time frame.


It's quite easy, actually:

1. They sold 19.5 million in 14 months, that's true.  However, only the last few months had a production level of 1.8 million.  They began at 1 million a month--just over HALF of what they are doing now, and had several increases throughout the year.

2. You are flat-out wrong when you say that they've said they won't increase production.  They said they will wait until the end of their fiscal year (end of March) and assess whether they need to increase production at that time, and they almost certainly will do it.

3. Wii Fit, Brawl, and Mario Kart are coming out this year.  According to a figure someone posted on this site recently, the US spends more on fitness in one year than the entire world does on video games, so Wii Fit will annihilate everyone if advertised properly.  Smash Bros. was the only reason a lot of people picked up a GameCube.  And everyone loves Mario Kart

4. There are a LOT of other games coming out this year (see my list in the "2008--Year of the PS3 or 360?" thread)

5. If demand were to drop, they are in an EXTREMELY comfortable position to drop the price.  Even a $20 drop+big new game would spur the demand back up.