| Metallicube said: Err, I realize this topic was made back in October, but I think it should be pretty obvious as this point that not only will PS3 not be in first for 2011, but will probably be in 3rd. 360 will have the continued strength of Kinect and the dominance of the US market, which is more than offsets the PS3 advantage in Japan. And Wii will continue to sell on the strength of its evergreen titles and Donkey Kong Country, as well as the NSMB bundle. Zelda will also boost its sales during the slow months. PS3 has a nice looking lineup for next year, but most of those titles are not going to move significant hardware, if even GT5 couldn't. |
The PS3 has Japan in front of the 360 as well as the EMEAA region, it was ahead in EMEAA even on Kinect launch week without any significant releases or deals. So its rather that the 360's Americas advantage won't offset the PS3's advantage globally. As for the Wii; I believe the decline will continue and it will drop another few million, landing in the range that the HD consoles are set to do this year. Whatever Sony does to gain sales, one can rest assured that Nintendo and MS will answer quickly so any extra momentum might be short lived. All in all, I do think the PS3 will outsell the 360 though, the 360 is priced lower, has also had its revision and is one year further along in it's lifecycle.
Will the PS3 beat the Wii? That's the real question imo. I find it unlikely to be honest but its far from impossible.
