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Hyruken said:

Just thought i would point out GT4 sold 50% of it's total sales at by 8 weeks point. 40% by its first 4 weeks and 35% by its first 2 weeks on sale. Prologue followed pretty much the same pattern.

So assuming GT5 follows the same pattern as the other 2 games the first week sales indicated 25% of potential total sales meaning GT5 would just make it to 8m units.

Of course that only counts if the pattern is followed. Anything could happen to change it. I doubt there will be another 6 years until the next GT game this time around so that could effect it to. If we get another GT game in 2 years that will effect sales massively.

This is incorrect.  GT5: Prologue only sold 655k its first week, constituting only 16% of its current 4 million total according to VGChartz, not to speak of its 5 million shipment total.  As of week 2, it had sold only 1.018 million, putting it at 25%.  Week 4 it was at 35%, and week 8 it was at 42%.

Granted, I expect GT5 to be somewhat more frontloaded, but not considerably so.  If the game's first week ends up being around 20% of its lifetime sales (right between GT5:P and GT4), it would still break 10 million.  But that all depends on how long this gen lasts.