which will sell more in lifetime sales Super smash brawl or mario kart wii?

[Dodece]

On a aesthetic level you would think Mariokart would easily win. The game is more casual friendly, and has more variation in play. Unfortunately each generation Nintendo has shown that it gives less then a rats ass when it comes to the series quality. You often get the feeling that they do just enough to sell the game, but not enough to make it positively glow. They are stingy with their track allotment, and the battle mode arenas well there is just no excuse for merely four. Basically I do not have high hopes for the next installment unless Nintendo proves they are serious about giving the game the kind of love they give their other series.

Further more I think Smash has an unappreciated advantage in launch window. More specifically the lack of competition on the platform when it launches. Thats where Mario and company can get squashed. Smash will be the game of the moment. Were Kart to arrive in the late fall or even the holiday season it would face a tougher market. One where the consumer isn't quite so starved.

Yes I think that the head start will help Smash enough to win. Right there for starved gamers at the right time with no competition, and further more its legs will have a lot more room to work with. Kart would be really lucky to catch up. I am not just thinking of dedicated Wii owners here either multiple console owners will have a lot to choose from by the time kart arrives on the scene.

Launch window and Nintendo neglect probably seal the deal. However I will say this I do not think either series will not put up the numbers some posters expect. Wii either title appeal to ultra casual player? What will the effect of other Nintendo offerings be. We do expect more then two heavyweights from this year right. What effect would another Zelda have, a Donkey Kong, Disaster, or Starfox have on the situation. Regardless those would do more harm to Kart then Smash. Since none of them will be around when it launches.