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I'm as sure as I can be that The Last Story will be localised, it's dev costs will be too high to justify not localising it, plus the fact it's made by the guy who made some of the final fantasies which were popular in the west.  Plus Monster Hunter 3 shows that 'niche' Japanese games can sell to Western Wii owners if they are advertised well.

Xenoblade is still up in the air, I can see it going either way.

Tales of Graces hasn't got a chance now.  I held out hope for Nintendo to publish it outside Japan, but now it has gone multiplat I can't see it happening