Console wars -- regression to mean.

[MrMafoo]

famousringo said:

MrMafoo said:
Adding the Wii into the mix of the “Console War” equation is misleading at best.

I know well over a dozen people who own a Wii, and every one of them has either a 360 or a PS3 as well. I do not know a single person with a Wii who does not have another console of this Generation.

Besides, the only reason why anyone should care if a console sells well, is that games continue to be made for it. If the gaming industry has grown to the point where the 360, Wii, and PS3 can all be successful this generation, then what console sells the most is irrelevant.

 Thanks for reminding me to change my sig.

The last paragraph of your post is the interesting one, but I find it a little idealistic. These things tend to snowball. Though I do think that the trailing consoles this gen have better prospects than they did last gen, simply because the dominant company this gen wasn't the leader last gen and didn't get to market first, like the PS2 did.

The PS2 was not to market first for its generation, the DreamCast was (and was doing quite well). It got overtaken by the PS2 because of exclusive games. The DC had very few, the PS2 had many. People wanted what only the PS2 could provide.

If MS, Nintendo, and Sony can each maintain a large exclusive title library, they will probably all succeed.

My personal feelings is as soon as the number of PS3’s overtake the 360 (probably sometime in 2009), most of the AAA exclusives for the 360 will be gone (aside from Halo).

But, if by the time that happens, there are 50 million 360’s to market; people will be making games for it for a very long time (thus people will still be buying it).