Mr.Metralha said:
Are we trapped on an endless loop were the Wii will be doomed ? This matter is discussed every year, the Wii was supposed to be in dire straits 6 months after its release. Then a year. Then 2 years definetelly. Then in 2009 it would totally colapse. In 2010 if a Wii HD doesn't come, Kinect and Move are going to kill the Wii. Now 2011.
The Wii was born to be doomed. |
I have never said that Move and Kinect would destroy the Wii, the Wii was already in a sharp decline before Move and Kinect launched. Like I mentioned earlier, I had no faith in Move and Kinect as products and believed, rather foolishly in hindsight, that they would both flop. They obviously haven't.
Does the Wii have to be doomed to be outsold by one or more competitors? No, in fact; it has already won the generation in all likelyhood. The decline is real though and is likely to continue in 2011, all consoles decline over time and next year there is a real possibility that the Wii may actually be outsold for the calendar year (both HD consoles were pretty damn close before the holiday season set in this year). When I made my year end 2010 hardware prediction for the Wii it was both ridiculed and mocked in all ways and venues, having the nerve to suggest that the Wii would sell only 17 million in 2010 was unheard of, especially since this prediction was made in january when the Wii was in its best first quarter ever and way on top of the others. Guess what? It seems extremely likely that my 82 million 2010 year end prediction will come true and there's a lot of egg on a lot of faces in here because of it, even the analyst team on site seem to have missed this one hard, predicting a more or less flat curve from 2009.
Is the Wii doomed? By no means. Is it in a decline and may be outsold next year? Quite possible but I'm not daring enough to claim it as fact. The most famous and positive predictions in here have crashed spectacularly, such as those of John Lucas and, strangely enough, madmen such as good old Crazzyman have been more accurate so it is equally foolish to assume a blistering 2011 for the Wii. Let's not forget the opposite side of the "doomed" crew, the side that chanted an assured 45 million by year end 2008, and assured 50% marketshare by 2008 and, of not by then, then certainly shortly after or in its lifetime. A bare minimum of 70 million sold and a possible 75 million units sold by 2009 was also touted as fact around here and, as mentioned, predictions such as 17 million for 2010 was sheer heresy only months ago. It was also guaranteed to outsell the PS2 with no problems, all TheSource's and other users' analysis and projections showed as much.
Take mind, both negative and postive spin has been proven faulty through the years and to dismiss any hint of talk of a decline in Wii sales as mere "doom" talk is slightly defensive and not exaclty nuanced. No console is immune to a decline, simple as that.
PS: Please don't take things so personally and forgive the wall of text. 
