| BKK said: "The other theory to help account for that 0.48m units is that some of the US supply for January was expedited to arrive early in time for the holidays. This has its limitations as it would be fairly difficult to push more than a week (at absolute most two weeks) worth of production forward, but it could still account for some increase." Could it not also be that the VGCharts data is slightly off? 0.48M wouldn't seem to be very much especially when considering how difficult it is to track sales in "others". Anyway, we'll get shipped Wii figures for Q4 from Nintendo in a few weeks, so that should clear it up a little more. |
Yes absolutely some could be accounted for by VGC numbers being off, but it could also be off the other way so its hard to try and account for that specifically. But I do think you are correct in saying that 0.5m over the course of 6 months is well within the confidence interval.
@Sky, it is more likely to be an average than a worst case since worst case would be 0..but I know what you mean. The problem is that I would have a hard time believing that their production range was much bigger than +/-50k a month and for Aug-Dec thats only 500k if we assume it maxes every time and that 1.8m is in fact the worst case.
@superchunk,
I think I did missunderstand you initially, but I think we are in agreeance now. I definitely think you are correct that production was adjusted to meet demand where it was needed and you agree that that alone couldn't have produced these numbers..a nice middle ground =)
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| To Each Man, Responsibility |
