Stockpiling - The Debate is Over

[Avinash_Tyagi]

Sqrl said:

Avinash_Tyagi said:

Sqrl said:

IIRC their production numbers were in their quarterly reports which would mean that they cannot (legally) lie about them. But for further evidence you only need to consider Nintendo's long history of conservative decision making and it quickly becomes clear what happened.

That and well, its sort of hard to hide the fact that you are upping production without people noticing, it is not a small scale effort.

edit: Also Reggie stated it takes them 5 months to up production, if they started the process again at the end of August it would likely be at least 3 months before any extra production started showing up so Sep, Oct, and Nov would be the same with December showing maybe an extra 100k total? So that seems highly unlikely especially since they wouldn't have had any time to assess their most recent increase at that point...I just don't think they would up production again without seeing what their most recent changes have done first.

But still an excellent question and a point worth covering.

See the thing is according to the data you supplied since August they had 2.3 million set aside, adding in the 1.8 million for december and you end up with 4.1, much less than the 4.58 they sold in December, now couldn't they have shifted from earlier months you say, unlikely since if you look at VGC numbers they sold 16.24 this year take away 10.6 for July through Decmber according to the data you supplied and you are left with 5.64 million, yet according to VGC the figure for sales is 5,968,442 until the first of July, so they wouldn't have had any supply availible to shift from other months

 

 

July - 1.12m (extra: unknown)
Aug - 1.07m (extra: 0.73m)
Sep - 1.16m (extra: 0.64m)
Oct - 1.02m (extra: 0.78m)
Nov - 1.65m (extra: 0.15m)

Total Extra So Far: 2.3m

Dec - 4.58m (extra: -2.78m)

Ok I think that is the numbers you are looking at (posting it for clarity), but what I don't get is how you think the extra 2.78m units were sold in Decemeber if not through stockpiling?  The only way they didn't stockpile units is if production for december was actually at least at 4.3m or so.

I am trying to understand your point but you need to be a bit more clear please.  What, precisely, is your theory for where ALL of the extra units came from?  

 

 

Actually its 2.28 not 2.78, 4.58-2.3 is 2.28

 

Also its cool, I just checked on what Albonius said ,and he's right from April to July it was at 1.2 million up from 1 million earlier in the year, that was where the discrepancy I was noticing was coming from, that extra 800K of production