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I'm only 99% certain it will outsell the 360 by the end of next year.  One reason is because ever since the launch of the Slim, the PS3 has slowly, but surely, been closing the gap on the 360.  When the Slim launched, I believe the gap was ~ 8 mil shipped.  That's when many on here were saying the gap would never begin to close.  If anything it would increase.  But in a little over a year, the PS3 has closed the gap by 5 mil, to just 3 mil. 

Now, the most important reason isn't because of great software next year, either.  It's because next year, the price is going to drop to either $199 or $249.  The Move bundle will also probably drop to $299 because of the falling price of the PS3 HW and the Move controllers.  So 2011 is going to be a great year for the PS3, and probably Move, especially with an even bigger boost around this time next year from the lower price.