Here is my rough takedown on the situation (all numbers could be off by plus/minus 20%):
A) Shipments (may be sold to resellers or partially shipped to warehouses to prepare for XMas rush)
Initial Move shipments were 1.5mio units Europe and 1mio units America. These units were shipped by normal ways (sea freight 4 weeks min.) and manufactured on existing lines during summer. Assuming a typical four month manufacturing period, this means about 150k units were manufactured every week. Manufacturing continued at this pace until end of September when Sony increased manufacturing to react to unexpected higher demand, so we have 6 weeks @150k manufactured until October. End of October, Sony again increased manufacturing capacity as they still see higher demand than expected. So we have:
1. Initial shipments: 16 weeks @150k = 2.5 mio units
2. shipments until first manufacturing increase: 6 weeks @150k = 0.9mio units
3. shipments with increased capacity in October 4 weeks @200k = 0.8mio units
4. shipments at full manufacturing capactity until end of year: 8 weeks @ 250k = 2.0 mio units
Total shipped units by end of year = 6.2 mio units
B) What is a move unit?
Basically a move unit can be a Starter pack, a bundle, a camera, a dildo or a wand. As Sony knew what software would be available on launch, Move units were initially divided into three groups: a) Starter packs, b) dildos and c) wands. Observations and reports from various European countries strongly hint that initial move units consisted of:
75-80% (Bundles and Starter packs)
15-20% Dildos
5% Wands
This is of course an expected and logical breakdown as none of the initial software required more than a dildo to function with. As by mid-November, shops in Europe have seen about three or four small resupply shipments of various contents, mostly Starter packs and dildos (even some cameras). The breakdown also explains why the "Everyone bought another 1-2-3 dildos" line is patently false because stock simply didn't exist for that to happen.
C) Does it sell (from a European standpoint)?
This is the part most people seem to fight over. We have three sources. Sony tells us they still have problems resupplying. Uebermoron Pachter tells us that Move isn't really selling. Shops show and tell us that it is difficult to get single items like dildos and wands, while Starter packs and Software are readily available, in sometimes limited qunatities. Of those three sources, we can easily discredit Uebermoron Pachter as unreliable (read his latest babblings about only 400'000 units sold in Americas - he contradicts himself at least three times within a few sentences). Reports from various European countries show that the initial shipments are sold through >90% by mid-November. No data is available from Asia, curiously.
