I think Move vs Kinect will be the same as 360 vs PS3. In Americas Kinect will be over Move by a huge margin. In EMEAA it'll be very close. I think in EMEAA Move will come out just ahead, up to January mostly because of the longer time on market. In Japan Move>Kinect but both will sell low numbers so it won't have a material effect on the WW difference.
Nett result will be Kinect>Move.
Also it's the ongoing debate about Move. I think by '3 million Moves' Pachter is meaning install base rather than number of Move controllers sold. Given Sony were at 2.5 million Move products (starter packs Move controllers) shipped by early Nov, with reports of low stock numbers in some locations, I can't see Sony only shipping another 500K Move products over the next 1.5 months. I think more likely at least another 2 million Move products shipped over that time. Possibly more if the average number of Move controllers per household is >1.5.
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