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If sales for this Black Friday match last Black Friday, and stay consistant for the rest of the year, it will hit 7.3 mill ish. But it has an extra 2 weeks before that, which is another 250 - 300k.

So 7.6 ish mill by end of year with no YoY gains.

Reach is seeing a bigger bump, earlier than Halo 3 received, and it needs around 400k extra. It's gonna be close, barring no adjustments it could just about do it.