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HappySqurriel said:
Beuli2 said:

Surpise, surprise. When talking about th PS3 having a 10 years plan, everyone instantly believes, but when they say Wii 2 won't be released there are a lot of doubters.


I wouldn't take this as a slight against the Wii ...

We are rapidly approaching a point in the generation where everyone who is interested in console videogames will own a console (or more) and the only way to grow your userbase will be to attract new people into videogames or to convince owners of your competition's console to buy your system; neither of which is a particularly easy thing to accomplish, especially when the image you've built around your system may be in opposition to what these consumers are interested in.

At this point in time a new system is increasingly attractive to each of the console manufacturers because it is a blank slate, they can re-sell their system to their "Base" and push new concepts in gaming to try to appeal to new gamers and other console owners.

 

Many PS3 or XBox 360 fans may not be as willing to accept this and may believe this (in part) because they believe the new add-on devices for their systems will be able to meaninfully expand the life of the system. While there may be some truth to this, and (if amazingly successful) they could make the console live 12 months longer, it is mostly based on unrealistic expectations.

PS2 hardware peaked in its third calendar year.

Wii hardware peaked in its third calendar year.

360 will most likely peaked in its 6th calendar year ( it might do better in 2011 , who knows).

PS3 numbers in its 5th calendar year are its highest so far.

It seems to me that the numbers do show that when the HD makers say this gen will last longer they do know what they are talking about and that they do not have that many issues convincing consumers to buy their product 6th year into the gen...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !