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Its a bold claim. And unlikely. But to all who dismiss it so fast. Its entirely possible.

 

I count with a Wii successor in 2012. And I can see Wii selling "just" about 100 Million Units.

Also it could be that if Kinect fails to be what MS expects then we can see a 360 successor sooner. And the PS3 could take the PS2 position and sell for 99-129 Dollar for years. And in the end it could even outsell Wii. But ofcourse everything has to be perfect for the PS3 from now on.

 

I expect WIIs marketshare to drop to 45% this year. I have trouble imagening Wii outselling 360 and PS3 combined over the holidays. And 2012 it could stop almost entirely when the successor is on the market.

 

Less likely is that the 360 wont eat massively into PS3 sales over the years. 

 

Actually I can imagine Wii ultimatly finishing 3rd after 3-4 years additional time for PS3 and 360.