Hard to say. 2011 will be the year the new Zelda hits the Wii, so it wont be 2011. Starfox has yet to hit the Wii, so they may use that to fuel through 2012.
The Wii came out in 2006, so 2012 would be a 6 year lifespan. The GameCube came out in 2001. with a 5 year lifespan (and much less success in the market than the Wii). The N64 came out in 1996, with a 5 year span, also falling beind the PS One. The Snes released in 1991, had great success and a 5 year span.
So, signs would say that Nintendo is comfortable with a 5 year span for its consoles, but no news this E3 for a new home console, which means that no 2011 - 5 years from the release. Will they push BEYOND 6? I cant see them doing that, when everyone is pushing for HD now more than ever.
The question we must ask is - will they try and wait until 3d TV tech is mastered to the point the screen works like the 3DS - interpreting the 3d graphics without a need for glasses? And how long will that process take?
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