| Michael-5 said: I will vote fo this soon, it's just late now and I want to make predictions on a clear head. So add my name to the tab, and expect predictions by this weekend (have a lot of work to do this week, so I won't have time until then). Also, how do points work? I see the lower the points we get the better, but what are they based on? What do they reflect? |
The points represent the per cent difference of your numbers from the real sales numbers (only slightly different).
They are calculated, so that over and underestimating are penaltied more equally, as:
( (predicted - real)/real*100% plus (predicted - real)/predicted*100% )/2
and then taking the absolute number in whole points .
example:
Predicted 200 Real sales number 250
( (200-250)/250*100 plus (200-250)/200*100 )/2 = -22,5 = 23 points
