saicho said:
Seece said:
cory.ok said:
for nintendo to get up to 100m wii's sold by december 2011, they have to start selling about 420,000 units weekly
to get up to 100m wii's sold by december 2012, they have to sell about 225,000 units weekly
if wiis hardware sales stay pretty close to constant they will reach 100m sales in about april of 2013
i dont think wii sales will stay constant, they'll continue their decline a bit after a new years sales increase. i doubt it'll get to 100m
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Except sales don't work like that ....... despite it's low 130k/150k's over the last few months, it'll actually average 350k/400k a week sales this year.
By the end of this year it'll be 85 mill. It's not going to drop from 18 mill this year to sub 10 mill next year, not gonna happen, it'll have a price cut next year as well. So 95 mill by end of 2011 is a lock. So that leaves 5 mill, will do it by mid 2012 at the latest.
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From 18 million this mllion this year to only 10 million next year would be a pretty big disaster for Nintendo. That's almost 45% drop.
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It's going to seem like a disaster next year even if they do 10 mill plus. If it doesn't get a price cut this winter or spring, it'll be doing sub 80k a week next year.