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leo-j said:

The ps3 is not peaking period...

 

THE SOURCE do you continue to ignore the fact the ps3 is STILL not at mass market price? Publishers don't need to start setting records so that a console's software sales peak. In fact the ps3's software sales is at the highest it's ever been, and the console still hasn't "peaked" hardware wise, and will not have its peak year until it drops to $199...

you could say the 360 and wii have peaked, because the 360 has been on the market since 2005, the wii has been at mass market price point since it launched, and the 360 has released a redesign and been at mass market price for two years, but kinect may give the console some life like microsoft said it's depending on so that the 360 lasts another couple of years...

You could say the industry as a whole may have peaked, due to PSP/DS declines, and 360/WII nearing their peaks, or have already peaked, but the ps3 has not peaked, and it's interest is growing greatly thanks to the fact the ps3 is one of the cheapest 3D blu ray players, and 3d tv interests are increasing in the television market. The move has also sold well above your estimations, and the ps3 has sold well above your previous estimations... and I wouldn't be suprised if there's a 1 million gap between shipment figures and actual consumer sales between your estimations and sony, as you have continually underestimated the ps3, and still do today.

everyone sees it, everyone knows it, and we all know, ALL OF US who have been here for 5 plus years, that a console's peak comes after it reaches mass market price point.

Every time I see this theory, it reminds me of this idea.

All console makers should make their consoles launch at a really high price so that it would take the longest time to drop the price to $199. It doesn't matter how long it takes to reach that $199 price point and will definitely peak then.

Also, some people on this forum always argue that this gen is different and doesn't follow the same pattern as previous generations. However, when it comes to console sales peaking at $199, it is always true since that's what happened in previous generations.



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.