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johnglen said:

Because kinect is an 150$ system while the move numbers are that of many things combined (including a 30$ controller). If move had sold 1 million starter bundles and we were seeing good software sales that reflected the number of starter bundles sold then yes, the launch would have been succesfull. Righ now move is a non-factor , smple as that. It's a non-factor in software sales and it's a no-factor in ps3 hardware sales .

If kinect does't sell hundred of thousand of games in its first month and doesn't elevate the xbox360 November NPD number to AT LEAST 1 million its launch will have been a failure. I won't lowball my prediction to "save face " , like some people are doing, i've written again and again what i would consider a success for kinect.

It might have sold 1M starter bundles, in fact, it's probably pretty safe to assume that in that 2.5M, at least 1M(if not 1.5M>) is starter bundles, as standalone Move controllers are hard to come by, and the navicon isn't that popular.  In regards to software sales, what are the combined sales for Heavy Rain, Ruse, Tiger Woods, Resident Evil, Sports Champions, Eyepet, Tumble, Echochrome 2, and all the other recently released Move games?

Hundreds of thousands of Kinect games in it's first month should be pretty easy as there's a game packed in with Kinect units in all regions, unlike with Move.