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I generally lambast Pachter, but in this case he is dead on.

As for those voting "Pachter who'd be dumb en...," we all know what your excuses are. "Well, Move was meant to have legs with slow growth!" "Sony never expected it to be a million seller in the first month!"

These excuses are loser excuses. All these excuses are doing is moving the goal post back so that when Move does have a good month, ya'll will come around and say "See Move is a success!" No, we weren't born yesterday. Rarely do games and game accessories such as Move and Kinect have weeks or months bigger than those in their first month. The exception is the holidays.

Thusforth, Move may push 200k units come November and December, but that is the highest it will get. Afterwards, it will resume to 100k per week and lower levels the farther it gets from it's original release date.