Will the Wii be able to outsell the Hd consoles any week this holiday?

[bmmb1]

Metallicube said:

bmmb1 said:

Metallicube said:

Of course Wii will outsell the HD consoles this holiday season. Remember, Wii has had absolutely no hardware movers up until about a week or two ago, and has still hung around for most of the year. Then there's the fact that Nintendo consoles typicially get the largest holiday boosts (even Gamecube got major boosts during the holiday), and Donkey Kong is going to be huge as well.

Granted, but have they ever ran in the past against a $500 million marketing campaign during the holidays ? (not to mention the tons of free hype Kinect will get in the general press due to that campaign). That's what makes me question what will happen this year's season, not all the Wii IZ Doooommez naysayers. The WIi is clearly not doomed, it will still sell fine during the holidays, but I have my doubts if anything will be able to surpass the Kinect juggernaut campagin.

MS can throw all the money they want into Kinect hype and advertising, but if the games suck, the thing won't sell, at least for a prolonged amount of time. My prediction is it will sell like hotcakes throughout the holidays but will fall like a rock soon after once everyone gets tired of the 17 mini games they launch it with and sells them back in mass.

MS needs some pretty godly advertising to convince people to spend over $300 on an accessory with only 17 mediocre looking games that support it. They will need some kind of hypnosis tactic or something.

But if Kinect sells like hotcakes during the holidays as you yourself expect (and as do I, betwen Oprah and the 500 million), then how do you still see the Wii surpassing it in that period? (this thread is about holday sales after all, not what will happen after the holidays).