How much will Kinect sell First Week?

[BHR-3]

Seece said:

How much will Kinect sell first week, this is alligned launch weeks. (US = W/E 6th, EMMEA = W/E 13th, Japan/Aus = W/E 20th)

We'll be going by Kinect Adventures seen as it's bundled with every Kinect WW.

Sports Champions has managed 150k first week, without Japan, and isn't bundled in some countrys.

Current Americas pre orders are 160k with 3 lots to come, likely to top 200k.

Also, ripped from the Americas fall preview

"ioi (8:56:29 PM): Kinect on the other hand should do 300-400k week one" This is americas only

also alot of this can sometimes be misleading VGC PO and even NPD, KA is at 160k PO and should end up in over the 200k range correct

but if we look at MOH PO there at 850 just PS360 but then we have an article saying that it well sell about 700k and all 3 platforms 1st week? this has happened before with some others SW like MAG and recently DR2 also

weather its do to canceled PO or the PO being off i cant really comment on that but i can say that its possible the kenict will have this phenomenon happen to it since i have yet to see any reviews on its SW yet or really any buzz on its release now only weeks away

the point is we really shouldnt be putting alot of stock on PO data b/c there have been instances were SW has sold less than its PO or about the same or way more like double or triple its PO

in conclusion i believe that VGC data will show kenict to be around 450-650k 1st week WW and the majority of that coming from the 299 HW bundles