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Given the ~400k prelim hardware numbers from Japan I really don't think the Wii will drop the largest percentage at least not week over week. But I do think that in terms of raw numbers it will far the fallest of the consoles...because as you said it easily has the farthest to fall.

I tend to agree with your assessment of the PS3 though I think it will be bolstered by the fact that being the most expensive console makes it the least appealing post X-mas as people are hurting in the wallet as it is....to be clear yes this effects everyone but I am saying that psychologically it will have a far bigger impact on potential PS3 customers than 360 or Wii customers.



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