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Bitmap Frogs said:
makingmusic476 said:

Ultimately, however, I think ioi's lack of detailed citations for his sources is a large part of why sites like GAF will have trouble ever accepting his data


This is a real problem.

Brett has never come clean about his sources, probably because they're so few that it's impossible for him to get consistent data. The proof is in the pudding: Brett has consistently missed trend changes, his margin of error is not within 10% as it's often tossed around here - it's around 10% averaging everything (which means big spikes happen) and only on the big ticket numbers.

Ultimately this means his numbers are not reliable.

GAF staff might not like Brett but since his numbers aren't good, there isn't room to argue. 

Personally, I'll pray for leaks to force NPD's hand and save the day.

First of all, as was said earlier, if you don't have faith in the numbers, why are people here.

But more to the point, I imagine it is hard to get good solid information on smaller titles. They have never been part of the NPD public releases. And where the numbers have been small, small errors become bigger (proportionately).

Plus, if you are trusting NPD, remember whom they don't include (Toys R Us and Wal-Mart), which might make the data very different on some games.

Mike from Morgantown



      


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