| Joelcool7 said:
Plus so what an analyst disagrees with me, thats not really worth anything since the industries top analysts said Wii would fail and told investors to invest in Sony stalks because PS3 was going to sell like hot cakes. Michael Pachter a way more respected analyst then the one you linked too said that WiiHD has supposed to come the last three years. I'd argue I'm just as good at analyzing then most analysts I've read up on. This is the launch month and under a million units is just not acceptable. Also note your analyst had alot of good to say about Kinect. What happens when Kinect launches what happens to Move? What happens when Nintendo announces their next console at E3 next year? I think Move will probubly shift about 5-8 mill in its life span, if Sony is lucky and that is short of DreamCast. Next time you choose someone to prove me wrong don't pick a 2-bit analyst use an actual industry professional who works for a retailer. If say GameStop's CEO says he expects Move to sell I'll listen to him alot sooner then some analyst! |
You can't even begin to say whether the Move is a hit or a failure until after the holiday season is over. And the reason they stated Move will be a slow burner is because it will get stigmatized by a lot of people as a Wii rip off and in their mind they will limit it to what the Wii can do. It will take some time for a lot of people to realize what a great product it is(or atleast give it a chance), as opposed to Kinect which they just say it doesn't use controllers and people's imagination of what it can do is limitless because there is no console like that yet. It's a great marketing strategy built right in. But the Move has the same problem with all the touch screen devices now days, no matter how great they are people think it's an Iphone/Ipad rip off and that they can't do anything the Iphone/Ipad can't do. And saying it will start slow and take time to build up sales is not changing it's stance from being a whole new platform for the future. I don't know how you came to that conclusion.
Sony has also stated that their marketing budget wont be as big as Microsoft's which doesn't help initial sales. And Japan, which is about 15% of Sony's userbase, has yet to see the Move released, which also hurts inital sales. I wouldn't know how many "moves" have been sold yet or even what would be the best way to track it(maybe track how many Cameras and bundles including cameras are sold?). But I'd think atleast 30% of PS3 owners would eventually buy the Move. I mean Sony is putting a lot of their favorite franchises in the Move line up and it will tempt a lot of PS3 owners to try it over time as those games release if they haven't already.
Also there is a difference between Sony stating something, and the public treating it as so. Sony may look at the Move as almost like a new console but to a lot of the public they will just think it's a new accessory or controller. When a new console (ala Dreamcast) is released most of that confusion is not there. Unlike all of us here, a large majority of the public doesn't scour the internet for information about gaming. If a normal person asks a normal person what is the playstation Move they will probably say it's like a Wii controller but for the Playstation. That is a boundary that will take some time to overcome. Definitely a lot longer than 3 weeks, which you have seemed to give it.
Note: It's stock not stalk and ad not aid.
