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KillerMan on 09 October 2010
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makingmusic476 said:
KillerMan said:
LordTheNightKnight said:
Kasz216 said:
Seece said:

They don't really need to worry, 3DS will be out next year and I imagin Wii 2 or whatever's next is round the corner.

Can't see Wii having a lifespan similar to PS2 at this stage though ..


Isn't it outselling the PS2 at this point in it's lifecycle?

It's kinda odd to suggest it won't have as good a lifecycle as something it's outselling.


Gaming community mentality gets a lot of things twisted.


Wii will not outsell PS2.

a) It doesn't have huge third party support like PS2 so it will not have as long lifespan as PS2 had. Nintendo has already 3DS to support and with Wii 2 they don't have manpower to support three platforms.

b) Nintendo doesn't have as good distribution network as Sony because they are only gaming company so Wii will not sell as much as PS2 in developing markets.

And can just look at the sales curve of both consoles.

The Wii has peaked sooner than the ps2, and is showing a much sharper drop-off far sooner than anything the ps2 had shown.

The ps2 was still consistantly topping 150k a week even in 2007:

First week of October, 2007 - http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly.php?date=39726&reg=World&date=39362&console=&maker=

And still topping 100k a week throughout 2008:

First week of October, 2008 - http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly.php?date=39635&reg=World&date=39726&console=&maker=

That's between it's 7th and 8th years on the market.  Meanwhile the Wii is already selling under 150k regularly as of its fourth year on the market.  It sold 138k this past week (the first week of October), for example.  It doesn't have the software support to maintain such sales for several more years, which is what would be necessary to eclipse the ps2.  Nintendo alone is not enough, even if they can come up with a couple more innovations as popular as Wii Fit to prop the Wii up over the next few years.

It's quite obvious that Wii will neither outsell the ps2 at this point, nor be supported by either retailers or third parties much past the release of Wii 2.

And we have to remember that because developing markets are hard to track vgchartz has been undertracking PS2 for long time. For example during last quarter Sony shipped more PS2s than MS shipped X360s and yet vgchartz has X360 pulling over 100k sales weekly and PS2 selling sub 40k weekly.