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This basically agrees with the feeling I've been getting.  We've had some slightly disappointing launches and it could be a trend.  The drop from 20% to 15% in the intention to buy VG consoles or games would be disturbing if everything else on the board wasn't down as well.   A recent forcast for Canada was saying they expect a 3 to 4% increase over the 'near disastrous'  2009 retail nos.  That's from memory not a direct quote and from the boob-tube.  I suspect the U.S. might have even less of an increase and the NRF is expecting just a 2.5% rise;

http://money.cnn.com/2010/10/06/news/economy/holiday_sales_forecast/index.htm. 

The kind of drops the NPD article is forcasting would be surprisingly bad.  No doubt some countries will be noticeably down. The vg sales nos. may be closer and more interesting this year but don't expect any records overall.