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Hmm... I'll throw down my optimistic predictions. Which is saying a lot, since there's definitely more uncertainty surrounding this game than NSMB. (Advertise to the max, Nintendo!)

Assuming launches aligned:

First week WW:  1.6mil
First 15 weeks: 7mil
LT: 13mil

First week may seem high, but it is launching on Black Friday week (in America, its biggest region). Thinking that should boost the opener a bit. Otherwise, I'm expecting it to outsell SMG by 30% or so (with better legs), should be fun to watch